frantic search for the pilot so that he is not a hostage

Monday is their deadline to open the Strait of Hormuz: “There are 48 hours before all hell breaks loose on them,” the president said this Saturday.

An answer that he gave after one of the two crew members of the F-15 plane shot down This Friday it still hasn’t appeared.

But the big unknown is how this event could change the course of the war from now on. If Iran manages to capture him before the US Air Force finds him, Donald Trump would be at a crossroads.

For this reason, the Revolutionary Guard has offered $76,000 as reward for him.

Meanwhile, Trump avoids advancing events and buying time. He does not even want to imagine the possibility that the ayatollahs had the pilot in their possession and used him as a bargaining chip to exert pressure.

We must not forget that this war was started precisely by Trump with Netanyahu on February 28 and in just over a month the conflict seems to have no end. At least not in a short period of time. And now the tension revolves around this military man.

De momento, el presidente estadounidense ha evitado pronunciarse sobre cuál sería su respuesta o qué pasaría en caso de que Irán presionase tras hacerse con el soldado. “Esperemos que eso no pase“, afirmó contundente en su última aparición pública.

Eso sí, ha tomado la delantera en suelo estadounidense con el arresto de la sobrina y la sobrina nieta del militar iraní, Qassem Soleimani, muerto en los ataques de febrero. Ambas vivían en Los Ángeles, California, con estatus de residentes permanentes legales, algo que les ha retirado la administración Trump.

The hostage crisis

The desire to find this airman missing since last Friday is becoming the new key piece of the confrontation.

In this fight to see who finds the lost pilot first, it is inevitable not to remember the 1989 Iran hostage crisis that marked decades of hostilities between both countries.

At that time a group of Iranian students took over the United States embassy in Tehran and held 52 Americans kidnapped during 444 days.

An event that marked a turning point.

From there, Iran was able to verify the power of people as a bargaining chip in any conflict to exert more damage on its enemies and be able to obtain certain advantages or concessions.

Since then, Iran has used this tactic as another weapon of war.

Las detenciones de estadounidenses o ciudadanos europeos han sido una constante para conseguir dinero o excarcelaciones de sus propios ciudadanos recluidos en otros países.

Lo que Trump no podía imaginar es que algo así podría ocurrirle a su administración en la guerra de Irán.

Por eso, ha evitado pronunciarse. Pero si se tira de hemeroteca, en 1980 él mismo afirmó con cierta ligereza: “Que este país se quede de brazos cruzados y permita que un país como Irán mantenga a nuestros rehenes, a mi parecer, es un horror, y no creo que lo harían con otros países“.

Sin embargo, más de cuarenta años después la situación podría volver a repetirse de tomar ventaja los iraníes y conseguir hacerse con el piloto.

Un escenario que pondría contra las cuerdas a Estados Unidos en este conflicto porque podría usar este hecho como un hito en la guerra con claros fines propagandísticos.

Y, es que, una vez más Irán está demostrando que tiene capacidad de respuesta y que, a pesar de los ataques, todavía no está cerca de la rendición. Tampoco Estados Unidos de gozar de una superioridad en el conflicto que le permita poner fin en el corto plazo.

The Key of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz has been the key to the conflict since the beginning of the attacks.

A fifth of the world’s oil passes through this strait and, therefore, its closure after the attacks has caused a strangulation of the economy from all over the globe.

The reduction in the flow of oil and natural gas through this strait is generating a global energy crisis which leaves inflation skyrocketing.

This pressure is also affecting the United States. All this, together with the pressure for the missing pilot, has caused Donald Trump to give an ultimatum to the Iranian regime.

Monday is their deadline to reopen this step, but it seems that Iran does not intend to meet this deadline.

Which means a new change of script with what Trump had been setting this last week and a new contradiction in his speech and in the course of this war.

On Wednesday he said that it had to be the countries “that receive oil directly through the Strait of Hormuz that must ensure that passage.”

Furthermore, he seemed optimistic about the end of the conflict and hoped that reopen “naturally” once the conflict ended in a few weeks.

All this in a very positive message, despite the rejection that it had already suffered a setback from Iran by rejecting the 15 point plan proposed by the White House.

Although on Friday his speech was more lax and the president stated that “with a little more time, we will be able to open the Strait of Hormuz, get oil and make a fortune.”

However, it seems that everything has changed with the downing of the two American aircraft, the search for the pilot and the growing economic pressure, also on the United States.

Meanwhile, the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, It has allowed itself to caricature Americans and Trump’s offensive.

“After defeating Iran 27 times in a row, this brilliant strategy-less war that they themselves started has gone from regime change to just ‘Can anyone find our pilots? Wow! What incredible progress!’ “True geniuses,” Ghalibaf ironically said.

Therefore, the tension is present and the look at this Monday with the new attacks or actions that the US president may undertake on Iranian territory.