votes by mail despite considering it “fraud” and loses in his Mar-a-Lago fiefdom

The winner in Palm Beach

Emily Gregory40 years old, is a public health professional and runs a gymnastics center for pregnant women. This was his first candidacy for election to the state House. The campaign focused on local problems: access to housing, the cost of living and healthcare.

“We have done all the work,” he told the media after learning the results. “We have knocked on every door, we have spoken to voters and I believe that we will succeed in the effort to reverse the trend in a district where Mar-a-Lago included“he added.

Las special elections They are held in the US when it is necessary to replace a member of the local or state House. In this case, a vacancy occurred due to the appointment of a Republican representative of the Florida State House for another public office.

Republicans blame their failure on low participation: just over 10% of the census. This type of election does not usually attract a large electorate, but commentators draw attention to the low mobilization of Trumpist voters.

It is inevitable to project Gregory’s victory in Palm Beach to a national dimension: since Trump won the presidential election in November 2024, Democrats have taken 14 seats from their rivals in different local or state processes. The Republicans, on the other hand, have not recovered any.

The seat won in Florida has given hope for democrats. “If we can win in Trump’s fiefdom, assume that we can win anywhere in the country,” the president of the Democratic National CommitteeKen Martin. “Let’s go for November!” he added.

The road to the ‘half-term’

This symptom worries analysts at GOP headquarters, the Republican Party. In November they celebrate the mid termthe midterm elections. In them, half of the Congress and around a third of the Senate are elected.

Today, the Republicans dominate the House of Representatives by a narrow margin and the situation could turn around. Experts warn that the parties in government action suffer wear and tear. To this we must add other factors that can affect the autumn results.

Trump has a solid base, but there are doubts about whether this is the case wide enough to ensure victory in Congress. The evolution of the Iran war, the rising cost of living and some of the broken promises may take their toll. Emily Gregory’s victory is a sign to pay attention to.

If Democrats take back the House in November, may hinder seriously the president’s legislative plans. But that is not the worst threat: a dangerous period will open in which investigations can be promoted to the Executive.

The scenario of defeat in the Senate is less likely. For control to change hands, Democrats would need secure 60 senators. Otherwise, both forces will have to continue agreeing on the most important legislative changes.

The loss of both Houses would be a catastrophe for the current tenant of the White House. Political commentators are waiting for some reaction to the electoral defeat in the president’s neighborhood, but at this time, the network Truth Social still remains silent.